17 December 2009
Annuity rates are expected to rise after last week's pre-Budget
report sent the price of gilts falling. Recent retirees and those
soon to retire are currently facing some of the lowest annuity
payouts in history. However as the Bank of England moves towards
selling bonds as it unwinds its quantitative easing programme there
is hope that this position will change.
Under quantitative easing, the Bank of England has been
aggressively buying bonds, pushing up the prices of gilts. This had
had a knock-on effect on pension annuity rates. Last week the Bank
announced it would be selling corporate bonds, as well as buying
them. A fall in the price of gilts increases the yield of the
gilts, which in turn determine annuity rates.
Hargreaves Lansdown's pensions analyst Nigel Callaghan says:
"The price of gilts has fallen through the floor. The market is
spooked by the Government debt and the fact there is no credible
plan to begin bringing the budget under control. This should be
very good news for annuities because the fall is so dramatic.
"Rates in the short-term should go up if this continues but it
could be a temporary blip. Annuity rates are bonkers at the moment.
They are surging and falling in ways they have just never done
before. It must be a nightmare for the pricing actuaries. This used
to be a sleepy world, now there are typically several rate changes
a week."