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Inflation Turns Negative

22 April 2009

Inflation figures published for March have shown that inflation has gone negative to 0.4%. This is the first time that this has happened since 1960. In February inflation was 0%. The Office of National Statistics (ONS) stated that the change had come mainly from energy prices as the price of oil was significantly below the level it had been in the same month last year. We have had a number of recent queries on deflation and its effect on pension entitlements.

The basic state pension is increased each April in line with the preceding September RPI annual inflation figure. This year's increase based on last September's RPI is actually 5% bringing the basic state pension for a single pensioner up to £95.25 a week from April 2009. The Government has recently confirmed its commitment to increasing the basic state pension by a minimum of 2.5% pa and so pensioners are likely to gain not lose in the event of continuing very low or even negative inflation.

Occupational pensions are also protected from deflation as they cannot normally be reduced and a proportion of pensions are increased by fixed percentages, usually between 2.5% and 5% per year.

Pension annuities (i.e. those derived from a personal or stakeholder plan) sometimes have fixed percentage rises built in to them which will continue. There is however a risk that annuities that are linked to RPI could reduce in the event of deflation, but this will depend on the terms of the policy.

 

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