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Be Realistic About State Pension Age, Actuaries Tell Government

24 May 2006

The Actuarial Profession has warned ministers that they must be realistic about how and when they will increase the State Pension Age.

The call came immediately before the publication of the DWP's White Paper on pensions. Michael Pomery, President of the Institute of Actuaries, said: "We are very much in favour of gradually raising the State Pension Age, in order to help pay for the widely-trailed restoration of the earnings link. This should be part of a broader strategy that seeks to enhance the Basic State Pension and prevent the spread of means testing.

"We are worried however that there might be a temptation to be over-prescriptive now about exactly when, and to what age, the State Pension Age will need to rise, which is something ministers must be on their guard against. Promising a State Pension Age of 68 in 2050, for instance, is unrealistic, as there is simply no way that anyone can accurately predict future longevity trends 44 years in advance.

"Instead, we favour a long term approach that would tie the pension age to average longevity, so that any extra life expectancy should be spent 2/3 in work, 1/3 in retirement. This is sensible, affordable - and, most importantly, easy for people to understand.

"However, there is always a temptation for politicians to mortgage tomorrow's pensions for political gain today. Whilst predicting average life expectancies in 2050 is uncertain, that must not become an excuse for government inaction. We believe making the Pensions Commission permanent would be the best way to prevent such a tendency. It would also help ensure that we maintain a fair future framework for any extra years lived between work, rest and play.

"Finally, the Basic State Pension, at whatever age we become entitled to it, will never give more than a basic standard of living in old age. We all need to understand that we will have to save more, and for longer, in order to ensure adequate retirement incomes."

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